Short-term load forecasting using time series analysis: A case study for Singapore

Abstract

This paper presents time series analysis for short-term Singapore electricity demand forecasting. Two time series models are proposed, namely, the multiplicative decomposition model and the seasonal ARIMA Model. Forecasting errors of both models are computed and compared. Results show that both time series models can accurately predict the short-term Singapore demand and that the Multiplicative decomposition model slightly outperforms the seasonal ARIMA model. © 2010 IEEE.