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Title: Economies, history, and causation
Authors: Morek, R.
Yeung, B. 
Issue Date: 2011
Citation: Morek, R., Yeung, B. (2011). Economies, history, and causation. Business History Review 85 (1) : 39-63. ScholarBank@NUS Repository.
Abstract: Economies and history both strive to understand causation: economics by using instrumental variables econometrics, and history by weighing the plausibility of alternative narratives. Instrumental variables can lose value with repeated use because of an econometric tragedy of the commons: each successful use of an instrument creates an additional latent variable problem for all other uses of that instrument. Economists should therefore consider historians' approach to inferring causality from detailed context, the plausibility of alternative narratives, external consistency, and recognition that free will makes human decisions intrinsically exogenous. © 2011 The President and Fellows of Harvard College.
Source Title: Business History Review
ISSN: 00076805
DOI: 10.1017/S000768051100002X
Appears in Collections:Staff Publications

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