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Title: 10 E+06 and all that: What do failure probabilities mean?
Authors: Palmer, A. 
Issue Date: Dec-2012
Citation: Palmer, A. (2012-12). 10 E+06 and all that: What do failure probabilities mean?. The Journal Of Pipeline Engineering 12 (4) : 269-271. ScholarBank@NUS Repository.
Abstract: Pipeline reliability analysis appears at first sight to be related to the probability analysis to which everyone is accustomed. In reality, it is substantially different, and the numerical failure probabilities it arrives at are nominal and unrelated to real probabilities. This matters because it misleads the engineer and the wider community, and because it may lead to an illusion of confidence and safety that the analysis and the underlying data do not begin to justify. The paper discusses the problem and how codes might be better written.
Source Title: The Journal Of Pipeline Engineering
ISSN: 17532116
Appears in Collections:Staff Publications

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