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Title: Checking for model failure and for prior-data conflict with the constrained multinomial model
Authors: Englert, Berthold-Georg 
Evans, Michael
Jang, Gun Ho
Ng, Hui Khoon 
Nott, David
Seah, Yi-Lin
Keywords: Checking for prior-data conflict
Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium
Model checking
Ordered probabilities
Quantum state estimation
Issue Date: 3-Mar-2021
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Citation: Englert, Berthold-Georg, Evans, Michael, Jang, Gun Ho, Ng, Hui Khoon, Nott, David, Seah, Yi-Lin (2021-03-03). Checking for model failure and for prior-data conflict with the constrained multinomial model. Metrika 84 (8) : 1141-1168. ScholarBank@NUS Repository.
Rights: Attribution 4.0 International
Abstract: Multinomial models can be difficult to use when constraints are placed on the probabilities. An exact model checking procedure for such models is developed based on a uniform prior on the full multinomial model. For inference, a nonuniform prior can be used and a consistency theorem is proved concerning a check for prior-data conflict with the chosen prior. Applications are presented and a new elicitation methodology is developed for multinomial models with ordered probabilities. © 2021, The Author(s).
Source Title: Metrika
ISSN: 0026-1335
DOI: 10.1007/s00184-021-00811-8
Rights: Attribution 4.0 International
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