Simplification of atmospheric models for real-time wind forecast

Abstract

In wind energy industry, it is well known that real-time wind forecast can improve the performance of wind turbines if the prediction information is well used to compensate the uncertainty of the wind. Unfortunately, neither model nor method is available to give a real-time forecast of wind so far. This paper proposed a real-time wind forecast model by simplifying existing weather forecast model, MM5. Details on model simplification, forecast error correction as well as other issues like boundary conditions and simulations are also discussed.