Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://scholarbank.nus.edu.sg/handle/10635/63376
Title: The use of growth curves in forecasting interfuel substitution processes
Authors: Ang, B.W. 
Yap, C.M. 
Issue Date: Sep-1988
Source: Ang, B.W.,Yap, C.M. (1988-09). The use of growth curves in forecasting interfuel substitution processes. Energy 13 (9) : 697-708. ScholarBank@NUS Repository.
Abstract: Four interfuel substitution processes (ISPs) are modeled using growth curves based on the data for Southeast Asian countries. Income and price variables are incorporated in the models so that an ISP can be viewed in the context of a cause and effect system responding to the changes in the economic environment. The results show that growth curves can describe the real situations adequately. The integration of the substitution models for the four ISPs in a unified framework for making national fuel share forecasts is discussed. This framework is subsequently used to project future fuel demands for Thailand based on two different scenarios. © 1988.
Source Title: Energy
URI: http://scholarbank.nus.edu.sg/handle/10635/63376
ISSN: 03605442
Appears in Collections:Staff Publications

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