Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2013.08.007
Title: Bus dwell time estimation at bus bays: A probabilistic approach
Authors: Meng, Q. 
Qu, X.
Keywords: Bus bays
Bus dwell time
Gap acceptance theory
Regenerative process
Issue Date: Nov-2013
Source: Meng, Q., Qu, X. (2013-11). Bus dwell time estimation at bus bays: A probabilistic approach. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 36 : 61-71. ScholarBank@NUS Repository. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2013.08.007
Abstract: The conventional data-driven regression approaches cannot be used to formulate the bus dwell time at a bus bay because they are incapable of dealing with the interactions among buses, arrival passengers, and traffic on the shoulder lane. Firstly, this paper points out that the bus dwell time at a bus bay possessed a high degree of uncertainty originating from the merging behaviour of bus to the vehicles in the shoulder lane. Secondly, it develops a novel probabilistic methodology to estimate the bus dwell time, including a standard regenerative stochastic process to model the interactions among buses, arrival passengers, and traffic on the shoulder lane. A tangible procedure is also proposed to estimate the mean and variable of the random bus dwell time. A case study is carried out to show the effectiveness of the proposed methodology. Finally, an impact analysis is carried out to demonstrate the significance of an advisory sign ". give way to buses". © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.
Source Title: Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies
URI: http://scholarbank.nus.edu.sg/handle/10635/58977
ISSN: 0968090X
DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2013.08.007
Appears in Collections:Staff Publications

Show full item record
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.

SCOPUSTM   
Citations

33
checked on Dec 13, 2017

WEB OF SCIENCETM
Citations

24
checked on Nov 16, 2017

Page view(s)

48
checked on Dec 10, 2017

Google ScholarTM

Check

Altmetric


Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.